Wednesday, 26 April 2023

(efficacy of) nonviolent protests

Trying to define what nonviolence encompasses is a large task (although this, this, and this provides some scope), but I often want to refer to information on the efficacy of nonviolence. For that, I'm going to provide the list below, which I will expand if I ever get time: 

From https://gnwmythr.blogspot.com/2020/07/post-no-1614-how-large-do-movements.html

Erica Chenoweth and Maria J. Stephan have looked at statistical aspects of violent and non-violent campaigns, and found that violent campaigns have ~26% chance of success, but nonviolent campaigns have ~53% chance of success. In their book, Why Civil Resistance Works” (pub. Amazon), they discuss a number of aspects contributing to this, and one is the size of the campaign, with non-violent campaigns having larger numbers of participants. ... Reports on  this work comment that civil resistance movements that engage at least 3.5% of the population have never failed to topple a dictator

Here is an old post of mine that may also be worth a look: 

 

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